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Sterling Weekly for the Week of November 17th, 2009

I am very happy to announce that after missing the last six (6) weeks due to a severe case of pneumonia which lingered on and did not want to leave, I am back writing the Sterling Weekly and the Sterling Prime Stock Newsletter. After suffering from pneumonia, I would definitely urge everyone to get a pneumonia shot. It supposedly protects against 27 different types of pneumonia and is good for 10 years.

Since the previous edition of the Sterling Weekly, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 801.55 points or approximately 8.3% to finish at 10,406.96 In the September 14th edition of the Sterling Weekly I published a chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average with a pair of trendlines showing the trading channel that the Dow Jones Industrial Average was trading within by staying within those trendlines. As I was preparing to write my 1st edition of the Sterling Weekly following coming down with pneumonia, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transport Average were in the process of moving lower, as a result I was planning on discussing the Dow Transport Theory; which says for a move in the Dow Jones Industrial Average to continue it must be confirmed by a similar move in the Dow Jones Transportation Average. But before I could complete the article, Warren BUffet announced that Berkshire Hathaway was purchasing Burlington Northern, send the Dow Transports sharply higher and changing the context of the market, which somewhat made the article I was working on irrelevant.

However, the Dow Jones Transportation Average has now rallied back to yearly highs, a place it has been twice before in the last couple of months. I've included a chart showing the recent history of the Dow Transports. Now the question is, can the Transports break through this apparent resistance level and move higher, or will it again turn lower upon reaching these levels?? If the Dow Transports does move higher from here, look for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (and the overall broad market) to continue to move higher. However, if the Dow Transports moves lower, then it could in turn pull the broad market and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lower.

Dow Jones Transportation Index

Also, please note that this week has several major economic announcements this week including the Producer and Consumer Price Indices.


Sterling Calendars for the Week of November 17th, 2009
Economic Calendar
Date Est. Time Release

For

Consensus Prior
11/16 8:30am Retail Sales Oct 0.9% (2.3%)
11/16 8:30am Retail Sales Ex-Auto Oct. 0.4% 0.4%
11/16 8:30am Empire Manufacturing Nov. 30.0 34.57
11/16 10:00am Business Inventories Sep (0.7%) (1.6%)
11/17 8:30am Core PPI Oct. 0.1% (0.1%)
11/17 8:30am PPI Oct. 0.5% (0.6%)
11/17 9:00am Net Long Term TIC Flows Sep. $30.0B $30.0B
11/17 9:15am Capacity Utilization Oct. 70.8% 70.5%
11/17 9:15am Industrial Production Oct. 0.4% 0.7%
11/18 8:30am Housing Starts Oct. 600K 590K
11/18 8:30am Building Permits Oct. 580K 573K
11/18 8:30am Core CPI Oct. 0.1% 0.2%
11/18 8:30am CPI Oct. 0.2% 0.2%
11/18 10:30am Crude Inventories 11/13   1.76M
11/19 8:30am Initial Claims 11/14 504K 502K
11/19 8:30am Continuing Claims 11/13 5,600K 5,631K
11/19 10:00am Leading Indicators Oct. 0.4% 1.0%
11/19 10:00am Philadelphia Fed. Nov. 12.0 11.5

Prime Update:

The Prime Stock Newsletter is our daily newsletter that contains commentary on the overall market, and our single best trading idea for the day! (Both Long & Short Sale Recommendations) We select this stock through a combination of technical (charting) and fundamental (financial) analysis. The Prime Stock Newsletter provides select expanded quotation information, corporate description, select recent company news, our technical analysis of the shares and our expectations, and our options recommendation for the company.

Our most recent Performance Report is now available available (here). We are proud to report 19 of our last 20 recommendation resulted in profitable trades for an average profit of $1.05/share. This is an 95% success rate.

Highlights from Recent (20) Editions of the Prime Stock Newsletter
Recommendation Date Entry Point Recent Close or Exit Price Profit* Note
Domtar 'UFS' Nov 4 $47.36 $52.41 $5.05 Sold on the 12th
Newmont Mining 'NEM' Nov 9 $50.07 $51.30 $1.23 Sold on the 9th
Ingersoll-Rand 'IR' Nov 13 $36.03 $37.60 $1.57 Sold on the 16th
* The per share PROFIT is a theoretical calculation based upon the opening price the day the recommendation is published and the intra day high (or low for short sales) on the exit day. The exit day is determined based upon the application of our "Rules for Trading", the implementation of "stops" within our stated policy, and may not reflect the complete or full movement of the underlying recommendation.

 

Disclaimer: The Sterling Investments series of newsletters is produced by Sterling Investment Services, Inc. All information used in the production has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate. Sterling Investment Services does not warrant or assume any liability for inaccuracy of the information used to produce our publications. To receive further information on these services please visit our web page at: www.sterlinginvestments.com If you would like to contact us our fax # is (404)-816-8830 Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com Sterling Investment Services may hold positions in the securities recommended or may be providing consulting services to the companies mentioned within this report.
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