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Sterling Weekly for December 1st, 2008

The overall market as measured by the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained approximately 782.62 points, or approximately 9.7% last week to finish at 8,829.04 last week. However the Dow Jones Industrial Average promptly dropped 687 points or approximately 7.8% today. The overall stock market still has a lot of issues facing it. President-elect Obama may have a great set of speech writers but it will take more than that to solve the structural problems that are facing our economy. Until those can be addressed properly the market will continue to trend downwards.

In last week's edition of the Sterling Weekly I briefly discussed the problems surrounding mark to market accounting. The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of Act 2008, enacted and signed by the President on October 3, 2008, among other things requires the Commission to conduct a study of "mark-to-market" accounting applicable to financial institutions, including depositary institutions, and submit a report to Congress with the findings and determinations within 90 days. The SEC has set up a web page to keep the public informed of their progress and to solicit comments. The SEC's web page on the topic can be found (here). We will do our best to keep everyone informed as to the progress on this issue, as we believe this is one of the key causes of our current economic crisis and reforming the rules around this is one of the keys to an economic recovery.

Sterling Calendars for the Week of December 1st, 2008
Economic Calendar
Date Est. Time Release For

Briefing.com

Consensus Prior
12/01 10:00am Construction Spending Oct. (1.1%) (1.0%) (0.3%)
12/01 10:00am ISM Index Nov. 38.0 37.0 38.9
12/02 ??? Auto Sales Nov. 3.8M N/A 3.8M
12/02 ??? Truck Sales Nov. 4.3M N/A 4.1M
12/03 8:15am ADP Employment Nov.   (200k)  
12/03 8:30am Productivity-Prel. Q3 1.0% 0.9% 1.1%
12/03 10:00am ISM Services Nov. 43.5 42.0 44.4
12/03 2:00pm Fed's Beige Book        
12/04 8:30am Initial Claims 11/29 525K 540K 529K
12/04 10:00am Factory Orders Oct. (3.7%) (4.5%) (2.5%)
12/05 8:30am Avg. Workweek Nov. 33.6 33.6 33.6
12/05 8:30am Hourly Earnings Nov. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
12/05 8:30am Nonfarm Payrolls Nov. (280K) (325k) (240k)
12/05 8:30am Unemployment Rate Nov. 6.7% 6.8% 6.5%
12/05 3:00pm Consumer Credit Oct. $4.0B $1.5B $6.9B

  Misc. Calendar
Date: Comments:
12/02 Marvel Technology 'MRVL' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.21
12/02 Sears Holdings 'SHLD' announces earnings before the open. Est. ($0.49)
12/02 Staples 'SPLS' announces earnings. Time ?? Est. $0.41
12/03 Casey's General Stores 'CASY' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.57
12/03 Del Monte 'DLM' announces earnings. Time ?? Est. $0.12
12/04 Movado 'MOV' announces earnings Time ??? Est. $0.81
12/04 Toll Brothers 'TOLL' announces earnings. Time ??? Est. ($0.39)
12/04 Williams-Sonoma 'WSM' announces earnings. Time ??? Est. ($0.11)
12/04 Wind River Systems 'WIND' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.09
12/05 Big Lots 'BIG' announces earnings. Time N/A. Est. $0.16
  The full earnings calendar for this week can be found (here)

Prime Update:

Sterling Investment Services is an investment research and money management firm publishing the Prime Stock Newsletter. The Prime Stock Newsletter is a daily comprehensive newsletter that is useful for investors and traders alike. Whether you are looking for short term trading opportunities ranging from day trading to a couple of weeks or if you looking to acquire a long term portfolio at smart entry points. Subscriptions are $50/month. A Free 2 Week Trial is currently being offered.

Our most recent Performance Report is now available available (here). 16 of our last 20 recommendation resulted in profitable trades for an average profit of $1.57/share. This is an 85% success rate.

Highlights from Recent editions of the Prime Stock Newsletter
Recommendation Date Entry Point Recent Close or Exit Price Profit* Note
Transocean 'RIG' Short Sale Oct 27 $65.09 $59.44 $5.65 Covered on the 28th
Humana 'HUM' Short Sale Oct 28 $32.23 $25.01 $7.22 Covered on the 28th.

DryShip 'DRYS' Short Sale

Nov 10

$15.59 $8.50 $7.09 Covered on the 13th
* The per share PROFIT is a theoretical calculation based upon the opening price the day the recommendation is published and the intra day high (or low for short sales) on the exit day. The exit day is determined based upon the application of our "Rules for Trading", the implementation of "stops" within our stated policy, and may not reflect the complete or full movement of the underlying recommendation.

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU)

Current Opinion: Closed @ 8,141.36Last Signal: Called Lower (again) with the close of 8,378.95 on October 24th. Current Expectations: We might see a short term rally however the Dow should continue to move lower and test 7,762.34 on a closing basis.


The S&P 500

Current Opinion: Closed @ 816.21 Last Signal: Called Lower (again) with the close of 876.77 on October 24th. Current Expectations: We might see a short term rally however the S&P 500 should continue to move lower and test 752.44 on a closing basis.


The NASDAQ 100 (NDX)

Current Opinion: Closed @ 1,091.16 Last Signal: Called Lower (again) with the close of 1,202.27 on October 22nd. Current Expectations: The NDX should continue to move lower and test 957.05 on a closing basis.


CBOE Ten Year Treasury Index (TNX)

Current Opinion: Closed @ 2.719% Current Expectations: With the current market turmoil it is anyone's guess where interest rates are going. However, my guess is that short term debt instruments will be more sought after than longer term ones.


Disclaimer: The Sterling Investments series of newsletters is produced by Sterling Investment Services, Inc. All information used in the production has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate. Sterling Investment Services does not warrant or assume any liability for inaccuracy of the information used to produce our publications. To receive further information on these services please visit our web page at: www.sterlinginvestments.com If you would like to contact us our fax # is (404)-816-8830 Email address is: enelson@sterlinginvestments.com Sterling Investment Services may hold positions in the securities recommended or may be providing consulting services to the companies mentioned within this report.
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