Well
it definitely has been an interesting few weeks since the
previous edition of the Sterling Weekly. Since then we have
seen a major issue develop with the NASDAQ halting trading in
Corinthian Colleges 'COCO' because a single trader entered a
erroneous number of shares to sell and sent the market sharply
lower. The problem is that the NASDAQ was unable to halt trading
on other ECNs and the shares of 'COCO' continued to trade. When
the trading resumed the shares moved back higher. Then after
trading resumed the NASDAQ cancelled many of the trades that
executed during the trading halt. This left many traders who
had purchased shares of 'COCO' during the trading halt and then
sold after trading resumed for a quick and sizable profit, or
at least who thought they had, actually short the shares of
'COCO'. I believe their attempt at dealing with the problem
of the number of shares to sell created many more problems than
it actually solved. Trading in the shares of 'COCO' should not
have been halted unless all the other ECNs and exchanges agreed
to halt trading at the same time. A cynical person could say
that the NASDAQ moved to protect one of its members and the
expense of the trading community. We will probably see new regulations
dealing with the halting of trading in issues that trade on
many different platforms, if not a multitude of lawsuits from
traders who suffered losses.
The 7th Rule of Trading is
"Cut Your Losers, Keep Your Winners!" This
is a very basic concept and one that you would think would naturally
be followed, but it's not. Adjusting your portfolio could be
thought of as managing the personnel of a professional sports
team. No one in their right mind would trade all their star
players for a bunch of bench warmers, because then all you would
have is a team of mediocre, or worse, players. Yet investors
do the same thing all the time. I saw this many times when I
was a stockbroker; an investor who needs money for something
calls up and needs to sell an investment to raise the cash,
more times than I can count the first thought was to avoid selling
something that was not profitable so they would want to sell
their biggest winners. Other times it is an investor who is
looking to avoid short term capital gains taxes, so they will
want to sell shares in a company that is a better performing
investment and they have held for a long period of time to simply
avoid the higher short term taxes. The bottom line is that an
investor should keep their best investments and seek to constantly
weed the poorer performers from the portfolio. This will result
in a team of superstars that produces championship results.
Economic
Calendar for the week of December 15th, 2003. |
DATE |
Est. Time |
Release |
For |
Actual |
Briefing.com |
Consensus |
Prior |
Revised From |
Dec 15 |
8:30am |
Empire State Index |
Dec. |
|
38.0 |
35.0 |
41.0 |
|
Dec 16 |
8:30am |
CPI |
Nov. |
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
|
Dec 16 |
8:30am |
Core CPI |
Nov |
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
Dec. 16 |
8:30am |
Housing
Starts |
Nov. |
|
1.930M |
1.919M |
1.960M |
|
Dec. 16 |
8:30am |
Building
Permits |
Nov. |
|
1.920M |
1.911M |
1.981M |
|
Dec. 16 |
8:30am |
Current Account |
Q3 |
|
($136.0B) |
($136.0B) |
($138.7B) |
|
Dec. 16 |
9:15am |
Industrial
Production |
Nov |
|
0.6% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
|
Dec. 16 |
9:15am |
Capacity
Utilization |
Nov |
|
75.3% |
75.4% |
75.0% |
|
Dec. 18 |
8:30am |
Initial
Claims |
12/13 |
|
360K |
365K |
378K |
|
Dec. 18 |
10:00am |
Leading
Indicators |
Nov. |
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
Dec. 18 |
12:00pm |
Philadelphia Fed. |
Dec. |
|
30.0 |
25.0 |
25.9 |
|
Prime Update:
Sterling Investment Services is an investment
research and money management firm publishing the Prime Stock
Newsletter. The Prime Stock Newsletter is a daily comprehensive
newsletter that is useful for investors and traders alike. Whether
you are looking for short term trading opportunities ranging
from day trading to a couple of weeks or if you looking to acquire
a long term portfolio at smart entry points. Subscriptions a
$30/month. a 3
DAY TRAIL SUBSCRIPTION IS ONLY $4.95 (more).
NEW FEATURE: In the late 90's
and into early 2000 I published the Professional
Trader's Newsletter, which featured four (4) trading recommendations
daily, as well as my nightly review of all the various sector
indices. It was from these four (4) recommendations I selected
the one I liked the best, as the expanded recommendation for
the Prime
Stock Newsletter. I have decided to combine the two newsletter
formats and add three additional trading recommendations to
the Prime
Stock Newsletter. The new Prime
Stock Newsletter will continue to have a primary recommendation
with expanded information and analysis, three additional trading
recommendations (the new feature), and my list of stocks with
patterns indicating they are moving either higher or lower.
Highlights from
Recent editions of the Prime Stock Newsletter |
Recommendation |
Date |
Entry Point |
Recent Close or Exit Price |
Profit* |
Note |
Pacific Healthcare 'PHS' |
Nov
26 |
$61.70/share |
$65.11 close on 11-28 |
$3.41 |
Should continue to move higher. |
Dick's Sporting 'DKS' |
Nov
25 |
$50.20/share |
$52.58 close on 11-28 |
$2.38 |
Should continue to move higher. |
Gilead Sciences 'GILD' |
Nov
24
|
$57.00 |
$59.39, exit on 11-24 |
$2.39 |
|
* The per share PROFIT is a theoretical
calculation based upon the opening price the day the recommendation
is published and the intra day high (or low for short sales)
on the exit day. The exit day is determined based upon the
application of our "Rules for Trading", the implementation
of "stops" within our stated policy, and may not
reflect the complete or full movement of the underlying
recommendation. |
The Dow Jones Industrial
Average:
Today's Opinion: Closed @ 10,042.16
Last Signal: Called Higher with the close
on Nov. 24th of 9,747.79 Current
Expectations: I am expecting the Dow Jones Industrial
Average to move higher and test 10,097.50 and then 10,259.74
The S&P 500:
Today's Opinion: Closed @ 1,074.15
Last Signal: Called higher with the close on Nov. 24th
of 1,052.08 Current Expections: I am expecting the
S&P 500 to move higher and test 1,080.95 and then 1,100.64
The NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Current Opinion: Closed @ 1,417.27 Last
Signal: Called lower with the close on December 5th
of 1,406.91 Current Expectations: I am expecting the
NASDAQ 100 to move lower and test 1,363.49 Longer term I am
expecting the NASDAQ 100 to test 1,555.11 and then 1,846.96.
CBOE Ten Year Treasury Index (TNX)
Current Opinion: Closed
@ 42.42 Last Signal: Called Lower with the
close on Dec. 5th of 42.15 Current Expectations:
The TNX should move lower and test 41.47 and then 40.09 on
a closing basis.
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|