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PRIME STOCK NEWSLETTER FOR APRIL 20th, 2010

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Position Statement: In our Prime Recommendation Letter we attempt to identify the recommendation with the highest probability of moving higher.  We recommend that stop orders be placed at the time of purchase,  and once the position has moved profitable we recommend a stop be placed a minimum of $0.375 above the purchase price and moved higher as the position moves higher.

Today's Comments: A late day rally on Monday pushed the broad market moderately higher, but in an unusual end to the day the major market indices were mixed with the NASDAQ finishing the day lower while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 finished the day moderately higher. The various sector indices I track were mixed. There was strength in the Insurance, Chemicals, Banking, Healthcare, Broker/Dealer, Consumer, Telecom, and Cyclical indices. There was weakness in Airlines, Commodities, Transports, Natural Gas, Biotech, Gold/Silver, Oil Services, and Retailers. The High Tech indices were mixed. Oil was lower by $1.79 to $81.45 per barrel, and Gold was lower by $1.10 to $1,135.80 per ounce.

In my review of the charts from yesterday's trading activity one of the key things I noticed was that the vast majority of the heavy volume stocks had bearish moves yesterday. In other words, the majority of the market did not participate in the Dow's upward movement yesterday.


Sterling Calendars for the Week of April 20th, 2010.

Date

Est. Time Release

For

Consensus Prior
04/21 10:30am Crude Inventories 04/17 N/A (2.20M)
04/22 8:30am Initial Claims 04/17 455K 484K
04/22 8:30am Continuing Claims 04/10 4,600K 4,639K
04/22 8:30am PPI Mar. 0.5% (0.6%)
04/22 8:30am Core PPI Mar. 0.1% 0.1%
04/22 10:00am Existing Home Sales Mar. 5.30M 5.02M
04/22 10:00am FHFA Home Price Index Feb. (0.2%) (0.2%)
04/23 8:30am Durable Orders Mar. 0.2% 0.9%
04/23 8:30am Durable Orders Ex - Auto Mar. 0.6% 1.4%
04/23 10:00am New Home Sales Mar. 325K 308K
  Misc. Calendar
Date: Comments:
04/19 Atheros Comm. 'ATHR' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.51
04/19 'IBM' announces earnings after the close. Est. $1.93
04/19 Steel Dynamics 'STLD' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.26
04/20 AK Steel 'AKS' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.98
04/20 Coca-Cola 'KO' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.74
04/20 Forest Labs 'FRX' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.83
04/20 Goldman Sachs 'GS' announces earnings before the open. Est. $4.01
04/20 Johnson & Johnson 'JNJ' announces earnings before the open. Est. $1.27
04/20 Apple, Inc. 'AAPL' announces earnings after the close. Est. $2.44
04/20 Seagate Tech. 'STX' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.94
04/20 VMware 'VMW' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.28
04/21 Abbott Labs 'ABT' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.80
04/21 Altria 'MO' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.40
04/21 Boeing 'BA' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.64
04/21 Amgen, Inc. 'AMGN' announces earnings after the close. Est. $1.24
04/21 Massey Energy 'MEE' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.28
04/22 AutoNation 'AN' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.32
04/22 Amazon.com 'AMZN' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.62
04/22 American Express 'AXP' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.63
04/22 MicroSoft 'MSFT' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.42
04/22 Riverbed Tech. 'RVBD' announces earnings after the close. Est. $0.18
04/22 Western Digital 'WDC' announces earnings after the close. Est. $1.55
04/23 Dover 'DOV' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.51
04/23 Honeywell 'HON' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.47
04/23 Ingersoll-Rand 'IR' announces earnings before the open. Est. $0.19
04/23 Patriot Coal 'PCX' announces earnings before the open. Est. ($0.46)
04/23 Travelers 'TRV' announces earnings before the open. Est. $1.39
  The full earnings calendar for this week can be found (here)

Recommendation: Sell/Short

American Tower Corp. 'AMT'

Company: American Tower Corp. Symbol: 'AMT'

Closing Price: $41.54

Web: www.americantower.com

YH: $45.00 YL: $27.93 EPS: $0.61 P/E: 68

Shares Outstanding: 403 Million

Forecasted EPS: $0.83 Market Cap.: $16.7 Billion
Dividend: N/A Yield: N/A Aver. Daily Trading Volume: 4 Million Shares  
Price Targets:  $40.10 and then $39.17 Upside Stop:  $42.07/share
Options Rec.: May 45 Puts @ $3.80/contract Options Symbol: AMT Q 45

Additional information on American Tower Corp. 'AMT' can be found (here)

Company Description: American Tower Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a wireless and broadcast communications infrastructure company. It develops, owns, and operates communications sites. The company operates in two segments, Rental and Management, and Network Development Services. The Rental and Management segment leases space on its wireless communications towers to customers, including personal communications services, cellular, specialized mobile radio, WiMAX, paging, and fixed microwave. This segment also leases space on its broadcast towers to wireless service providers, and radio and television broadcast companies; and provides in-building and outdoor distributed antenna system networks. In addition, it offers management services to property owners who own rooftops that are capable of hosting wireless communications equipment. The Network Development Services segment provides tower-related services, such as site acquisition, zoning and permitting services, and structural analysis services. As of March 1, 2010, the company owned and operated approximately 27,000 communications sites in the United States, Mexico, Brazil, and India. American Tower Corporation was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Chart for Mosaic Company

Chart updates daily

Recent News: 04/08 American Tower Corp. Earnings Call scheduled for Tue, May 4 CCBN (Thu, Apr 8)
  03/11 American Tower Deploys Outdoor Distributed Antenna System Network in Barrington Hills, IL Business Wire (Thu, Mar 11)
   

A full list of the news headlines for American Tower Corp. 'AMT' can be found (here)

Our Analysis: The shares of American Tower Corp. 'AMT' have been in a downward trend since the start of April. Yesterday the shares of 'AMT' closed below a recently established support level on heavier than normal trading volume. This is a bearish trading signal. The shares of 'AMT' should continue to move lower and test $40.10/share, a point of downside support established on February 5th of this year. If the shares of 'AMT' close below that level, then they should continue to move lower and test $39.17/share, a point of downside support established on December 8th of last year. I see upside resistance on the shares of 'AMT' @ $41.65/share, and have set my stops accordingly @ $42.07/share.


Stocks Looking Higher

MCD, CLNC, CNC, AGP, STZ, JNJ, POOL, GLT, ABT, CNF, FNF, DLM, SHOW, MSFT

Stocks Looking Lower
JPM, PFE, AA, MGM, AMR, X, DAL, AKS, MMR, MOS, JBL, AKAM, SWN, OXY, AMT, AMLN, DNDN, HUN, TLM, CTRP, TEX, SBAC, JCG, HSP, ILMN

Yesterday's Edition of the Prime Stock Newsletter
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